Honest Degen
Game Sims
Every NBA and NFL game, simulated 50,000 times. Pick a game and watch the most likely version play out. Every sim is logged and graded →
NBA · tonight
Run the Sim plays the most likely game. Deep Dive reads tonight’s injury reports and news and flags upset spots.
NHL · tonight
Shift-by-shift: power plays, goalie saves, empty nets, OT and shootouts. Lines and goalies from tonight’s props.
NFL · this week
Thursday, Sunday and Monday slates. Weather at the stadium is pulled at kickoff — rain, snow and cold are in the sim.
Track record · every sim graded—▾
How it works▾
Team scores come from the margin and total the True Price table prices. The sim never disagrees with the edge you see on Game Day.
Every player line is drawn conditional on that run's game script, so a blowout gives the favourite's QB fewer late throws and the dog's RB fewer carries.
Injury report, starters and bench, back-to-back fatigue. NFL pulls the stadium forecast at kickoff: rain, snow, wind and cold are in the numbers and on the screen.
The replay you watch is the run closest to the 50,000-sim median: right winner, right score range, stars near their averages.
A simulation is a probability, not a prediction. Past results never guarantee future outcomes. 21+ · Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.